
The “baby bust” that hit the United States during the first year of the COVID pandemic did not affect all states equally — with states that were more racially diverse or more “blue” seeing bigger drops in their birth rates. That’s among the findings of a new study that probed a now well-documented phenomenon: The pandemic triggered a drop-off in the U.S. birth rate, as it did in many other countries. That was the national picture at least. But the United States is geographically huge and diverse in many ways, said Linda Kahn, the senior researcher on the study and an assistant professor at NYU Grossman School of Medicine, in New York City. And as the new study demonstrates, the pandemic’s effects on birth rates differed from state to state. On the national level, Kahn’s team found what others have: Nine months into the pandemic, the U.S. birth rate was down compared to the year before — with 18 fewer births per month for every 100,000 women of childbearing age. But by the pandemic’s “second wave,” in 2021, the national birth rate had gotten back on track: That is, it returned to the declining trajectory it had been on in 2019. A deeper look, though, showed that states varied widely in how the early pandemic affected births. New York state, for example, saw a huge… read on > read on >